Ball State vs Georgia State predictions: Camellia Bowl pick and betting offers

Ball State’s Drew Plitt passes against Central Michigan in their game at Scheumann Stadium on Wednesday, November 17, 2021. (Imagin)

Our college football betting expert has his best tips and predictions for the Camellia Bowl game between Ball State and Georgia State scheduled for Christmas Day in Montgomery, Alabama.

Mid-American Conference teams have struggled this bowl game season and the Cardinals aren’t about to end the MAC’s losing streak. Find out why below.

Predictions for the camellia bowl

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Choice of camellia bowls: the analysis

Ball State needed a 20-3 win over Buffalo in its regular season final to qualify for a bowl game.

The Cardinals are led offensively by senior quarterback Drew Plitt, who has 2,248 yards and 17 touchdowns this season with just five interceptions.

Plitt started steadily for three seasons, making 58 touchdowns and having been selected just 18 times. Ball State won its first bowl game in program history last season, beating San Jose State in the Arizona Bowl 34-13.

Georgia State has won six of its last seven games while finishing second in the Sun Belt Conference. The Panthers rank No.8 in FBS with 224.5 rushing yards per game behind the 1-2 punch from Tucker Gregg (899 yards, 9 TD) and Jamyest Williams (810 yards, 9 TD).

Quarterback Darren Grainger threw 16 touchdown passes and led the Sun Belt quarterbacks with 548 rushing yards. The Panthers beat Western Kentucky 39-21 last season in the Lending Tree Bowl.

MAC attacked

The Mid-American Conference was on display at this year’s boules games. Northern Illinois, Toledo, Eastern Michigan and Kent State have already lost their bowl games, all to unranked opponents.

The Cardinals are not at the same level as last year’s team that pulled off an upheaval. They lost six games and faced only one ranked opponent (Penn State, a 44-13 loss).

Georgia State gave Auburn, then No.23, a bad assist in September, leading 24-12 at halftime before the Tigers rallied for a 34-24 victory. The Panthers took their heavy offense to high gear as the season wore on while keeping their opponents 21 points or less in six of their last seven games.


State of Georgia to be covered -6

Climb the score

The Panthers have scored a total of 107 points while winning their last three games. They should have little trouble nicking a rushed Cardinals defense that allowed an average of 169.5 yards per game and 21 touchdowns.

The Cardinals will likely play some catch-up in this game. On the bright side, they have a seasoned quarterback who isn’t often chosen. Drew Plitt should be able to find enough holes in the Georgia State high school to get his team into the end zone multiple times.

It all adds up to a high scoring affair, enough to pass the 50.5 point line.


Over 50.5 points in total

Win, you’re in the end zone

Jamyest Williams, a senior, has scored at least one touchdown in all of the Panthers’ wins. It’s a safe bet that he will find the end zone against a mediocre MAC team.

Williams’ production increased at the end of the regular season, despite sharing reporting with Tucker Gregg. He’s recorded straight 100-yard games, racking up 125 yards on 16 carries with two scores against Arkansas State and 108 yards on 15 carries and one touchdown against Troy.

Williams was a defensive back in South Carolina before moving to Georgia State. After playing a limited role in his first Panthers season, Williams has had a breakthrough season and he will be looking to end it on a high.


Jamyest Williams scores a touchdown

Camellia bowl odds

Odds courtesy of BetMGM and accurate at time of posting. Subject to change.

Total number of points: 50.5 Team Propagated Silver line
Over -110 State of georgia -6 (-110) -250
Less than -110 Ball condition +6 (-110) +190

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