Baylor at Alabama odds, picks and predictions

No. 4 Baylor Bear (18-2) go to the Coleman Coliseum to face the Alabama Crimson Tide (13-7) Saturday as part of the Big 12/SEC Challenge. Tipping is scheduled for 4 p.m. ET (on ESPN). Below we take a look at the Baylor vs. Alabama dimensions and linesand make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Oddly enough, the Bears may have 2 losses, but they’re undefeated on the road, sitting 5-0 on the season and 8-0 when including neutral-field environments. The Bears are 12-7-1 ATS (ATS).

After losing two straight Big 12 games, they have won their last three, covering each time. However, they will face an underrated Crimson Tide roster that is 9-1 at home (only 1-4 on the road) and 7-12-1 ATS overall.

Alabama is coming off a worrisome road loss to Georgia as a 14.5-point favorite. The Crimson Tide have been favorites by more than 9 points in 5 of their last 10 games, losing outright in 2 of them. They’ve only covered once in their last 10 games, pushing once as well.

Rankings courtesy of Ferris Mowers Coach Survey powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Baylor at Alabama odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY sports betting hub for sports scores and odds for a full list. The lines were last updated at 2:59 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Baylor -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Alabama +133 (bet $100 to win $133)
  • Against the spread: Baylor -3.5 (-105) | Alabama +3.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 150.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Baylor at Alabama odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Baylor 74, Alabama 72

silver line

PASTbut consider a slight pinch on Baylor (-165).

Given the quality of Alabama’s play at home and the value placed on Baylor, I can’t fully support a play on their money line, but I expect ‘Bama to win outright.

Against the spread

THIN at ALABAMA +3.5 (-120).

The Crimson Tide have been a completely different team at home. They lost now-No. 2 Auburn by four (81-77) on home court. It was the Tide’s only loss at Coleman Coliseum this season.

Alabama’s top two threats, both guards 6-foot-3 or under – Jaden Shackelford and Jahvon Quinerly — are upperclass and should be able to handle the pressure and pace of Baylor’s formidable perimeter defense.

The Crimson Tide also plays a 7ft C freshman Charles Bediako 18 minutes per game. So if Alabama needs size to counter the strength of Baylor’s top rebounder, F Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchouahe will have it.

The Crimson Tide’s experience should be able to keep this game close. With the Tide playing like the top 10 team analysts thought they might be at home, I expect it to be a close battle.

Alabama has yet to be an underdog at home this season.

More less

BET LESS THAN 150.5 (-110).

The Bears defense is the real deal. Baylor forces opponents to use the clock whether or not they return the ball.

While the Crimson Tide are giving up 74.7 points per game (PPG), the Bears are among the best defenses in college hoops. They only allow 59.3 PPG, the 13th lowest in the country. Baylor has hit under in four of its last five games.

Since this is the only total in their last 18 games with an Over of 144 or more, the Bears should be able to limit the Crimson Tide enough to make Under the most attractive play.

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