The 2021 NFL Draft takes place Thursday through Saturday in Cleveland, Ohio. While this isn’t the Super Bowl or NCAA tournament in terms of sports betting management, there are plenty of value bets to be made with a growing number of bookies.
Mac Jones will he be n ° 3 in the general classification? Will Heisman Trophy winner DeVonta Smith be the first wide receiver to come off the field?
VSiN experts – Danny Burke, Kelly Bydlon, Adam Candee, Paul Howard, Brady Kannon, Tim Murray, Wes Reynolds and Matt Youmans – are here to give their best bets on the multitude of prop bets available at American sports betting. , leading to the NFL. rough draft.
Offensive players drafted in the first round: LESS than 18.5 (+100)
Kannon: The first half of the first round seems to be very heavy for the offensive players. Because of that, and the way the NFL is so dominated by quarterbacks and offense, I think that number is inflated by at least 1.5. I think the highest total of offensive players taken in the first round will be 17 – and it’s probably over 15 or 16. This should stay well below 18.5, not allowing too much sweat for the punters. .
Kyle Pitts Draft Position: OVER 5.5 (+115)
Kannon: You win more money here, and I believe there is only one place that can kill your bet – pick # 4. All other picks, one through five, don’t go after Pitts and I think the Falcons will trade the No. 4 selection for a team that wants a quarterback. Even though Atlanta remains No. 4, I still don’t think they’ll draft Pitts. Therefore, there is a good chance in my mind that the old Gator will slide to # 6.
Kyle Pitts Draft Position: UNDER 5.5-112 (BetRivers)
Burke: In my opinion, Pitts has the potential to be the most effective offensive player in this draft – yes, maybe even more than some of the quarterbacks, depending on impact and longevity. Now, a lot of it depends on what’s going on with the Falcons at No.4, but I don’t think a team at the start is going to pass up the opportunity to pick a guy who could be the next Gronk.
Justin Fields under 4.5 (-105) draft position (William Hill)
Justin Fields overall pick # 3 + 260 (BetMGM)
Bydlon: I don’t buy Mac Jones smoke in San Francisco.
I think the 49ers go with Fields at No.3, and if not, the Falcons might take it four, or we might see a trade come up there for another team to come and get Fields.
Najee Harris, first RB draft -150 (BetMGM)
Bydlon: I’m not messing around with his draft position, but I think we’ll see a team late in the first round take on the former Alabama running back.
Youmans: The running back’s position has been devalued in recent years, so it looks like no more than one will go in the first round. Harris of Alabama is an explosive fullback who draws comparisons to LeVeon Bell, and the Steelers will be intrigued as their greatest needs are the running backs and the offensive line. Harris is a good bet to go late in the first round ahead of Travis Etienne of Clemson and Javonte Williams of North Carolina.
Wide receivers drafted in round one: over 4.5 to 200 (DraftKings)
Youmans: Three drops are first-round locks – Ja’Marr Chase of LSU and DeVonta Smith and Jaylen Waddle of Alabama – and five more appear as first players in various simulation projects. I expect there will be at least five, including Rashod Bateman from Minnesota and Terrace Marshall from LSU. The price is steep, but it’s reasonable as it wouldn’t be a big surprise to see six WRs selected in the first round.
Justin Fields Draft Position: Over 3.5 -185 (approx)
Youmans: Teams frequently pass lies and misinformation to the media ahead of the project. The betting market has shifted in favor of Ohio State Fields who rank third in the overall 49ers standings, but the move is based on guesswork in the media and public betting. “Justin Fields won’t go No. 3,” said Michael Lombardi, a VSiN analyst and former NFL general manager. “That’s what I heard, whether you want to believe it or not.”
There’s always a chance Lombardi’s sources are wrong, but he says Fields isn’t going to # 3, so I’m going to buy him. Another former NFL general manager, Charley Casserly, dropped Fields to Pittsburgh in 24th overall in his recent mock draft. Casserly’s projection seems extreme; look for Fields to go as high as fourth but not drop lower than ninth.
Kyle Trask Draft Position: Under 77.5-115 (Circa)
Youmans: There is speculation that a team could trade with Tampa Bay at No.32 and select a QB with the final pick in the first round. Stanford’s Trask and Davis Mills are the best candidates to be the chosen sixth quarterback. Chicago, who has the 52nd overall pick in the second round, has shown interest in Trask, who has an ideal height (6-foot-5, 235 pounds) and recorded big numbers in Florida. He should go somewhere in the second round.
First drafted player’s exact Lions playing position: Wide Receiver + 120 (BetRivers)
Burke: The Lions need to replace Kenny Golladay and with the position they’re in right now, realistically they’re going to be able to catch one of Alabama’s receivers at Jaylen Waddle or DeVonta Smith. Tyrell Williams, Breshad Perriman and Quintez Cephus as your top three leavers is nothing out of the ordinary. In addition, Dan Campbell, the new Lions head coach, is going to want to have a direct impact on the side of the ball where he is familiar. And new QB Jared Goff is going to need a reliable target.
Exact playing position of the Bengals of the first player drafted: Offensive Lineman + 120 (BetRivers)
Burke: Don’t think too much about it. I tell myself, to everyone and, above all, to the Bengals. Yes, Zac Taylor is an offensive guy who wants to add another receiving weapon, and how could you pass up a talent like Ja’Marr Chase? Plus, who wouldn’t want the opportunity to reunite their college teammates? Well, consider the fact that if Joe Burrow doesn’t get any protection, he won’t have the time, nor the health, to throw at these guys in the first place. And they already have two solid receivers in Tyler Boyd and Tee Higgins. The Bengals are going the smart way and protecting their QB.
Eagles playing position of first drafted player: Offense -155 (BetRivers)
Burke: In my mind, it’s pretty clear that the Eagles need some help offensively. Their receiving body is weak and could use a powerful and promising weapon. However, their offensive line is so brutal that they could go down a big guy’s route to add some protection to Jalen Hurts. As mobile as it is, getting run over and having to knock out of pocket every other game is expensive for a QB (just ask Russell Wilson). New head coach Nick Sirianni is going to stick with what he knows – and that’s an offense. I don’t know if it will be a catcher or a lineman, but I’m willing to put the price on it regardless of whether it’s on the offensive end of the ball.
Najee Harris Draft Position ON 28.5-105 (Circa)
Candee: Modern football analyzes highlight just how interchangeable most running backs are, and NFL teams are embracing this data science in their writing. Only one running back has been in the first round each of the past two years and only 10 running backs have gone before the No. 29 pick. Look at some star fullbacks who have been on the second round or later just since 2017: Nick Chubb , Dalvin Cook, Alvin Kamara and Derrick Henry. The Steelers appear to be the only serious threat to scuttle that bet, but history suggests they won’t – Pittsburgh hasn’t drafted a first-round running back since Rashard Mendenhall in 2008.
Player to be drafted first: Jaylen Waddle + 100 on DeVonta Smith (Stations)
Murray: LSU WR Ja’Marr Chase will likely be the first receiver selected in the NFL Draft and a pair of Alabama exits will follow, but who will go first?
Due to his production in his senior season, Trophy winner Heisman Smith is the slight favorite (-130) to overtake his former teammate Waddle. Waddle suffered a broken right ankle on a kickoff return in October and sidelined him until the college football championship game. Waddle, however, is considered a superior athlete than Smith and possesses an explosiveness that Athletic’s Dane Brugler compared to Tyreek Hill. Last year, Alabama’s Henry Ruggs didn’t have as much of college production as Jerry Jeudy, but he edged out his former teammate because of his speed. I see a similar situation unfolding this year.
WR to write in round one: OVER 4.5 -220 (William Hill)
Howard: Two guests came to Follow The Money and made fun of this prop. They pleaded for up to seven eliminations in the first round, and I believe them.
QBs drafted in the first round: OVER 5.5 + 300 (DraftKings)
Howard: We know there will be five QBs in the first round, but does a sixth slip in at the end of the first? Peter King believes Kyle Trask may be late, and Minnesota Vikings announcer Paul Allen has said on FTM that he thinks Davis Mills or Kellen Mond might be caught as well. At + 300, I like the value.
Ja’Marr Chase Draft Position: OVER 5.5-110 (William Hill)
Howard: It’s unclear what the Falcons will do at No.4, but they certainly won’t draft a wide receiver. I think the Bengals take Penei Sewell at No.5, who cash this prop.
Rashawn Slater’s Draft Position UNDER 10.5-145 (South Point)
Reynolds: With Sewell likely going No.5 in Cincinnati or even maybe No.6 in Miami, Slater is likely coming off the board quickly. Carolina seems like a logical place in 8th place since the Panthers franchise marked RT Taylor Moton and can play Slater at LT or either point guard.
Total number of defensive players drafted in the first round SUR 13.5 -115 (BetMGM)
Reynolds: Most false draft readers tend to focus only on the top 10 prospects and they will notice that the majority of dummies have as little as a single top 10 defensive player. Although this draft lacks the dominant rusher. and high end, there are a lot of teams that need help in this area and there are several available in the 15-32 range. In addition, we could see up to six CB drafted in the first round.
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