Expect both sides to light up the dashboard


South Georgia vs South Alabama odds

South Georgia Coasts +3 (-115)
Southern Alabama Coastlines -3 (-105)
Moneyline +130 / -150
More less 49.5
Time 7:30 p.m. ET
Odds via DraftKings. Be up to date college football odds here.

The Eagles and Jaguars enter this week’s Thursday night game after suffering losses.

Georgia Southern came back from a 24-3 third-quarter deficit against Troy to tie the game with less than seven minutes to go. Unfortunately, the Eagles still lost with a lead with less than two minutes to go.

Meanwhile, the Jaguars went into overtime against Texas State but suffered the same result, a loss due to a late field goal.

Both teams are looking to get out of the basement of their divisions, especially after allowing more than 400 total yards of attack last week.

Will these teams find themselves in another down-to-the-wire game this week? And if so, who emerges as the winner?

Georgia Southern vs South Alabama betting preview

South Georgia Eagles

South Georgia Offense

The Eagles’ passing game cost them last week against Troy.

Quarterback Justin Tomlin struggled, recording three interceptions and not a single touchdown.

But it wasn’t just the passing attack – the most essential part of their offense – the ground game couldn’t even start either. The Eagles were limited to just 82 rushing yards and averaged just two yards per carry.

If the Eagles can’t establish the rushed attack this week against South Alabama, I don’t see them having much luck against the Jags.

Offensively, the Eagles are averaging 380 yards per game and 24.8 points per game.

Southern Georgia Defense

The Eagles’ defense has struggled, so far allowing each opponent to score at least 25 points.

Last week against Troy, the unit allowed them to record 409 yards.

If they start again this week against the Jags, another loss will likely accompany it.

On average, the Eagles are allowing 483 yards and 32.7 points per game.

At the same time, they rank 76th in defensive success rate, 101st in points allowed per practice, 119th in yards per play (7.14) and 120th in yards per passing attempt (9.4).

Southern Alabama Jaguar

South Alabama offense

The highlight of the Jaguars offense is wide receiver Jalen Tolbert, who could very well be one of the best receivers in college football this year.

Tolbert leads the Sun Belt and ranks eighth in the country with 108 yards per game.

As quarterback Jake Bentley completes 66.8% of his passes and ranks third in the Sun Belt with 7.5 yards per pass attempt, he should be able to take advantage of an Eagles team that ranks 128th at the level. national for yards allowed per game.

The Jaguars are averaging 347 yards and 25 points per game.

Southern Alabama Defense

Defense has been the brightest point for the Jaguars.

Opponents are averaging just 20 points and 310.8 total yards per game, with the two placing third in the Sun Belt and top 30 in the FBS.

Southern Alabama is even better in advanced stats, including No. 6 in defensive success rate and No. 19 in points allowed per drive.

Specifically, the Jaguars ‘race defense could be the Eagles’ biggest problem.

While this Georgia Southern team is one of the best ground teams Southern Alabama will see this year, the Jags are limiting their opponents to under 100 yards per game so far.

Limiting the Eagles’ running game is a clear path to victory for South Alabama.

Georgia Southern vs South Alabama Match Analysis

Toggle the drop-down lists below to hide or show the statistical correspondence between Georgia Southern and South Alabama:

Georgia Southern Offensive against South Alabama Defense

Southern Alabama Offensive Against Southern Georgia Defense

Pace of play / Other
PFF tackle 122 105
Blanket 108 37
Middle 8 98 21
SP + Special Teams 12 52
Readings per minute 68 82
Precipitation rate 67.6% (6) 57.6% (49)

Data via College football data, FootballOutsiders, SP +, PFF and SportSource Analysis.

Georgia Southern is 6-3 ATS in its last nine games and 7-0 SU in its last seven games against South Alabama. The total exceeded four of Georgia Southern’s last six games played in Week 7.

South Alabama is 3-6 ATS in its last nine games.

Bet choice Georgia Southern vs South Alabama

South Alabama has never beaten Georgia Southern in seven games in this series.

I think these two teams will come into this game hungry for victory, but they both have one major problem – both defenses compare terribly to the opposing offense.

Georgia Southern ranks outside the top 100 in pass defense, while South Alabama ranks in the top 20 in completion percentage. South Alabama ranks outside the top 50 yards per game, while Georgia Southern ranks in the top 20 for rushes per game and yards per rush.

I don’t have enough confidence in either of these teams to know who will win, but I do know that both teams will be able to score points.

So that’s where I put my money. I have the most at 50 (-110) and I would bet up to 52.5 (-115).

To take: Over 50 (playing 52.5)

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About Harold Shirley

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